Austin Residents Can Expect Storm Chances to Return This Week

Central Texas will start June with warm, humid conditions before a shift to a wetter weather pattern brings an increasing chance of rain later this week.

A weak ridge of high pressure is expected to keep conditions mostly dry through Monday, with afternoon highs climbing into the upper 80s and lower 90s across the Austin area.

The day will begin with muggy conditions, as morning temperatures settle in the low to mid-70s with elevated humidity. Forecasters say increasing afternoon sunshine should help mix slightly drier air toward the surface, limiting rain chances to near zero.

Changes begin Tuesday as an upper-level storm system approaches from the western United States, pulling deeper Gulf moisture into Central Texas. This shift is expected to create a more favorable environment for showers and thunderstorms through at least the latter half of the week.

Rain chances will increase daily starting Tuesday, with the potential for scattered storms and periods of heavy rainfall. While widespread flooding is not expected, forecasters warn that localized downpours could lead to brief street flooding, ponding on roadways and minor drainage issues.

The developing pattern aligns with broader climate trends heading into summer. The Climate Prediction Center outlook favors above-average temperatures across the Southern Plains, including Central Texas, through June.

Meteorologists also point to a developing El Niño pattern in the Pacific Ocean, which could influence weather conditions in the coming months. While the system is expected to remain relatively weak in early summer, warming ocean temperatures could strengthen it later in the season.

Overall, residents can expect a mix of heat and increasing rain chances as the first week of June progresses, with unsettled conditions likely to persist beyond midweek.